Musalia Mudavadi's earthquake at Bomas of Kenya

The much-awaited Bomas earthquake came and went. while some argued that it was just a tremor, others claimed it was a huge earthquake, the highest on the Richter scale and that it must have been felt far and wide. The fanfare, pomp, and color that characterized the Bomas on Sunday the 23rd signified the amount of preparation that went into planning the event. Earlier Mudavadi had warned of an impending earthquake, some sort of political tsunami on this particular day, and most Kenyans keen on politics had been waiting on this day with bated breath, others with anxiety and with heightened expectations.

The jury is still out on whether the events of the 23rd at Bomas were a tsunami or just a tremor that affected no one at all, and depending on which political leanings you ascribe to in the coming August general elections in Kenya, one can interpret these events to suit their political agenda and aspirations. but whether you agree or not there are and there will be some political implications to either side of the political divide and to some extent even to Mudavadi's political career. This single Bomas event may have made or broken his career in politics depending on how the people of the mulembe nation will respond to it come August polls. 

Mudavadi, seen by many as not so decisive, when it comes to political decisions, may have finally grown some balls, albeit small, and made his major decision ever politically after all. He is seen as the political hyena that has been walking behind men hoping for the swinging hand to fall off for him to eat as opposed to going hunting himself. This year though, or rather this coming election he had vowed to be proactive and promised the mulembe nation that he will be on the ballot come August. but will he? Would someone as ambitious as the DP Ruto shelve his ambitions to accommodate Madvd's? I don't think he would and if Mudavadi is so gullible to believe such promises if any then I think the analogy of the hyena could never be so on point. Ruto has invested his heart, soul, and pockets in these polls and has his eyes on the ball, for him to drop it now would be foolhardy on his part. I don't see him vacating his candidature to anyone on earth at all, or even the heavens itself. The man covets that seat so much and right now getting it is all that matters. I don't know what he promised Mudavadi but I can confidently say that the Presidency wasn't part of it and will never be. Be it as it may, Ruto scored huge over the weekend by bagging Madvd and for some time will have some bragging rights, for just some time.

As for Azimio a political side led by Raila Amolo Odinga, and the President being in the shadows, it must have been a big disappointment for the duo seeing one of the fishes they had hoped to fish, being bagged by their erstwhile nemesis. The president had called, severally, the OKA trio to the statehouse, and word is that he tried several times, unsuccessfully, to have them support Raila. The trio with the exception of man Giddy, had previously been in a coalition with Raila and fell out over unfulfilled political promises and are said to have told the president to his face that it would be hard for them to support baba.

Another occurrence worth noting is the walking out OKA coalition partners, from Madvd's NDC. Kalonzo Musyoka, Gideon Moi, and Maina Wanjigi who had been attending the event walked out in protest on learning that Ruto was on his way to the event. This to some extent may have embarrassed Mudavadi and even portrayed him as dishonest, to many, the action was proof that he had some beneath-the-table dealings with Ruto while having some on-the-table dealings with Kalonzo and Man Giddy at the same time. Malala's lamentations about reserving the right of inviting friends to their 'wedding' and also reiterating that their partners in OKA also did invite their own friends in their own 'weddings' and that ANC never walked out on them, was an indication that they had hoped to rope in Kalonzo and Gideon Moi on this Sugoi journey, and that they had been embarrassed on a national event which was being aired live on several TV channels.

The political ramifications of this occurrence and its aftermath will be effectively judged n felt as we approach the coming elections and when finally the results are out and the winner is announced. Nonetheless, it's important to note that back in 2002 Mudavadi did the same and ditched Raila, and come to the elections still Raila delivered the western votes to Kibaki beating Mudavadi who was President Uhuru's running mate in his own backyard. In 2013 Mudavadi was on the ballot and still could not beat Raila in western despite being on the ballot. The Mulembe nation has been Raila's 'bedroom' since time immemorial and I foresee Raila beating Mudavadi in his own backyard hands-down, again. It is important to note that despite Kakamega being some sort of Mudavadi's headquarter politically, the governor of Kakamega has been twice elected on an ODM ticket despite him fielding his own candidates. Speaking as someone born and raised in Kakamega it's going to be a tough and steep climb for Madvd and Ruto in the western region. However politics can change and for the moment the battle was won by Ruto, let's see who wins the war and whether the earthquake will sway the 2022 general elections to Ruto's favor.